American International Journal of Social Science

Modelling Deaths from Road Traffic Accidents in Lagos State, Nigeria
ATUBI, AUGUSTUS .O.

Abstract
Using mostly secondary data on vehicular accidents obtained from the Nigeria Police Force and Federal Road Safety Commission, the study examines reported deaths from road traffic accident in Lagos State, Nigeria (1970- 2001). The variance spectra for Ikorodu, Ajeromi/Ifelodun, Lagos Island, Lagos Mainland, Ikeja, Epe and Badagry Local Government Ares shows no regularity in the occurrence of deaths from road traffic accident variation in the long period of accident occurrence of Lagos State are composed of different cycles. This means that 90% of deaths from (RTA’s) could be attributed to recklessness on the part of drivers, ignorance of highway codes etc. The reported numbers of deaths from road traffic accidents in the 20 Local Government Areas of Lagos State were compared using Analysis of Variance (ANOVA). The result shows that for the 2 factors Local Government Areas and years, the calculated F-ratios of 19.62 and 9.72 respectively at 0.05 level of confidence were higher than the table F-ratios of 1.57 and 1.46 respectively at 0.05 level of probability, it then implies that the means for reported deaths from road traffic accidents for each of the two factors, Local Government Areas and years were significantly different. In order to ascertain the means that were significantly different, DNMRT (Duncan |New Multiple Range Test) was used for mean comparisons. Based on the findings, policy recommendations were proffered on how to reduce the ugly, incidence of road traffic deaths in Lagos State and Nigeria in general.

Full Text: PDF